📉 GTIAS Risk Leaderboard

Market Obsolescence & Substitution Risk

Industries ranked by their vulnerability to demand evaporating or being permanently displaced by substitutes, based on the GTIAS Market Obsolescence & Substitution Risk attribute (MD01).

25 Industries Ranked
422 Total Industries Scored
MD01 GTIAS Attribute
What this tells you

High-scoring industries face a real risk of their market being abandoned entirely — through technological substitution, changing social norms, or structural decline — rather than merely cyclical softness.

Top 25 — Market Obsolescence & Substitution Risk

Ranked directly by the Market Obsolescence & Substitution Risk score (GTIAS MD01) — not a pillar average. Score out of 5.0 — higher indicates greater structural risk exposure.

# ISIC Industry Risk Score
1 0510 Mining of hard coal
5/5
2 0520 Mining of lignite
5/5
3 1920 Manufacture of refined petroleum products
5/5
4 0115 Growing of tobacco
4/5
5 0141 Raising of cattle and buffaloes
4/5
6 0220 Logging
4/5
7 0610 Extraction of crude petroleum
4/5
8 0892 Extraction of peat
4/5
9 1073 Manufacture of cocoa, chocolate and sugar confectionery
4/5
10 1075 Manufacture of prepared meals and dishes
4/5
11 1102 Manufacture of wines
4/5
12 1311 Preparation and spinning of textile fibres
4/5
13 1393 Manufacture of carpets and rugs
4/5
14 1420 Manufacture of articles of fur
4/5
15 1629 Manufacture of other products of wood; manufacture of articles of cork, straw and plaiting materials
4/5
16 1701 Manufacture of pulp, paper and paperboard
4/5
17 1709 Manufacture of other articles of paper and paperboard
4/5
18 1811 Printing
4/5
19 1820 Reproduction of recorded media
4/5
20 1910 Manufacture of coke oven products
4/5
21 2021 Manufacture of pesticides and other agrochemical products
4/5
22 2030 Manufacture of man-made fibres
4/5
23 2393 Manufacture of other porcelain and ceramic products
4/5
24 2394 Manufacture of cement, lime and plaster
4/5
25 2513 Manufacture of steam generators, except central heating hot water boilers
4/5
Methodology

Rankings reflect the MD01 — Market Obsolescence & Substitution Risk score directly for each of 422 profiled industries that have an assessed score for this attribute — not a pillar average. Scores range from 0–5 — higher indicates greater structural risk exposure. No editorial weighting is applied. Learn more about the GTIAS methodology.

Explore the Full Analysis

Every industry on this leaderboard has a complete GTIAS scorecard — 81 attributes, 11 pillars, risk scenarios, and strategic framework analyses.